The public record
The scorecard.
A mechanical record, not opinion. When the pipeline flags a gap between the market and independent fair value on a liquid market, it records that automatically and tracks it to resolution. For each desk, we publish which side proved right, and we show both outcomes the same way. It's the track record behind every desk board and the live dashboard.
Every prediction-market price we flag is timestamped the moment we record it, and the record is append-only. No one moves the goalposts after an event settles, which is what makes this a score you can cite.
Methodology · flagging v2 (Sept 1, 2026). The record counts pregame flags only. In-play (sports) and near-expiry (stocks/energy) snapshots, where the market and a pregame benchmark mechanically converge, are archived but excluded from the score. What changed and why →
Test your read. On open pregame flags below, lock whether the market price or the Scopes Fair Value was better calibrated. We score your read the same way we score the record: mechanically, when the event settles. Your calls are private. Your reads →
Every dot is a resolved divergence.
741 and counting, newest last. Nothing removed, nothing retouched.
Market right · 420Fair value right · 321
Hover or tap a dot for the flag it records.
Statistically significant at the 95% level (n = 741) What does this split mean? →
478
All desks · resolved flags
282
Market right
196
Scopes Fair Value right
Resolved flags: 478 · energy 428 · stocks 48 · Rate Scope 2
Sport Scope resolves daily (MLB now; NFL next). Rates, polls, energy, and stocks are live and opening flags; crypto is coming. The record broadens as desks resolve.
478
Resolved divergences
n = 478
11.0 pts
Avg divergence at flag
n = 478
57.4 pts
Largest resolved divergence
n = 478
+12.1 pts
Avg reversion to fair
n = 2early data
222,293
Archived snapshots
Avg reversion to fair: the mean movement of the market price toward the Scopes Fair Value between the moment a divergence is flagged and when it resolves, in points (positive = the market moved toward the Scopes Fair Value). Computed only for resolved, outcome-linked flags, so its sample can be smaller than the resolved count. Archived snapshots is the same live count shown on the homepage. One flag per event: complementary outcomes are not double-counted.
Rate Scope
2 flags · 2 resolved0100% fair2
Market rightFair right
Rate Scope
2
Flagged
2
Resolved
25.4pt
Largest gap
19.3pt
Avg gap
Still within chance (n = 2, p ≈ 0.50) · +12.1pt avg reversion toward fair · early data
Show all 2 flags
Showing 2 of 2 flags
| Which side was right | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸September 2026 FOMC decision — Hikeflagged Jul 24, 2026 | 47.5% | 72.9% | 25.4 | Fair value right |
| ▸July 2026 CPI (YoY) — Above 3.4%flagged Jul 18, 2026 | 38.5% | 25.3% | 13.3 | Fair value right |
Poll Scope
11 flags · 0 resolved0even0
Market rightFair right
Poll Scope
11
Flagged
0
Resolved
—
Largest gap
—
Avg gap
No resolved divergences yet.
Show all 11 flags
Showing 11 of 11 flags
| Which side was right | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸Iowa Senate 2026 — Democratflagged Aug 8, 2026 · benchmark: composite-v1 | 86.5% | 38.8% | 47.7 | Open |
| ▸Alaska Senate 2026 — Republicanflagged Aug 15, 2026 · benchmark: composite-v1 | 47.5% | 87.7% | 40.2 | Open |
| ▸US House control after 2026 — Republicans keep the Houseflagged Jul 18, 2026 · benchmark: legacy-2src | 18.5% | 44.3% | 25.8 | Open |
| ▸US Senate control after 2026 — Democrats take the Senateflagged Jul 18, 2026 · benchmark: legacy-2src | 43.5% | 20.7% | 22.8 | Open |
| ▸Texas Senate 2026 — Republicans winflagged Aug 30, 2026 · benchmark: composite-v1 | 49.8% | 59.8% | 10.1 | Open |
| ▸North Carolina Senate 2026 — Republicanflagged Aug 15, 2026 · benchmark: composite-v1 | 7.3% | 17.1% | 9.8 | Open |
| ▸Michigan Senate 2026 — Democratflagged Aug 8, 2026 · benchmark: composite-v1 | 55.5% | 45.7% | 9.8 | Open |
| ▸Kansas Senate 2026 — Democraticflagged Sep 29, 2026 · benchmark: composite-v1 | 29.5% | 39.1% | 9.6 | Open |
| ▸Ohio Senate (special) 2026 — Republicanflagged Aug 15, 2026 · benchmark: composite-v1 | 46.5% | 55.5% | 9.0 | Open |
| ▸Maine Senate 2026 — Republicanflagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: composite-v1 | 32.8% | 39.2% | 6.4 | Open |
| ▸Georgia Senate 2026 — Republicanflagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: composite-v1 | 7.9% | 13.9% | 6.0 | Open |
energy
497 flags · 428 resolved25740% fair171
Market rightFair right
energy
497
Flagged
428
Resolved
57.4pt
Largest gap
10.7pt
Avg gap
Statistically significant at the 95% level (n = 428)
Show all 497 flags
Showing 497 of 497 flags
| Which side was right | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸WTI ≥ $101.49flagged Sep 16, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 6.0% | 63.4% | 57.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $99.99flagged Sep 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 11.0% | 61.8% | 50.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $102.49flagged Sep 16, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 13.5% | 63.8% | 50.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $101.99flagged Sep 16, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 5.5% | 55.3% | 49.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $100.49flagged Sep 16, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 15.0% | 64.7% | 49.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $103.99flagged Sep 16, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 12.0% | 60.3% | 48.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $76.99flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 50.0% | 97.6% | 47.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $103.49flagged Sep 16, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 12.0% | 59.2% | 47.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $100.99flagged Sep 16, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 12.0% | 58.7% | 46.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $102.99flagged Sep 16, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 10.0% | 56.5% | 46.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $104.49flagged Sep 15, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 15.5% | 61.0% | 45.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $98.99flagged Sep 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 14.0% | 58.9% | 44.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $98.49flagged Sep 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 18.5% | 63.2% | 44.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $99.49flagged Sep 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 21.0% | 63.6% | 42.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $101.49flagged Sep 16, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 10.0% | 52.5% | 42.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $99.99flagged Sep 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 17.0% | 59.5% | 42.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $104.99flagged Sep 15, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 12.5% | 54.5% | 42.0 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $100.49flagged Sep 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 14.5% | 55.1% | 40.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $100.99flagged Sep 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 11.5% | 50.8% | 39.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $101.49flagged Sep 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 9.5% | 46.4% | 36.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $105.49flagged Sep 15, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 11.0% | 47.8% | 36.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $101.99flagged Sep 16, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 9.5% | 46.2% | 36.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.99flagged Sep 3, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 62.0% | 98.3% | 36.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $101.99flagged Sep 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 7.5% | 42.1% | 34.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $102.49flagged Sep 16, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 6.0% | 40.1% | 34.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $102.99flagged Sep 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 2.5% | 35.0% | 32.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $105.99flagged Sep 15, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 9.5% | 41.2% | 31.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $102.49flagged Sep 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 6.5% | 38.0% | 31.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $64.49flagged Aug 15, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 48.5% | 79.5% | 31.0 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.99flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 50.0% | 77.3% | 27.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $93.49flagged Sep 26, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 62.0% | 38.1% | 23.9 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $94.99flagged Sep 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 86.0% | 63.0% | 23.0 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $95.49flagged Sep 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 79.5% | 56.9% | 22.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.49flagged Oct 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 62.0% | 39.4% | 22.6 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.99flagged Oct 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 70.0% | 48.0% | 22.0 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $95.99flagged Sep 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 71.0% | 50.6% | 20.4 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $68.49flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 50.5% | 70.9% | 20.4 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $93.49flagged Sep 26, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 60.0% | 39.6% | 20.4 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.99flagged Sep 26, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 64.0% | 44.0% | 20.0 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $93.99flagged Sep 26, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 55.0% | 35.5% | 19.5 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $65.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 56.5% | 75.7% | 19.2 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.99flagged Sep 26, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 72.0% | 52.9% | 19.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $66.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 55.0% | 73.8% | 18.8 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.49flagged Aug 30, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 82.0% | 63.5% | 18.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $97.99flagged Sep 10, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 56.5% | 38.4% | 18.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $67.49flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 55.5% | 72.9% | 17.3 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.49flagged Aug 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 26.5% | 42.6% | 16.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $66.49flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 59.0% | 74.7% | 15.7 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 7.5% | 22.9% | 15.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $97.49flagged Sep 10, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 64.0% | 48.6% | 15.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.99flagged Aug 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 22.0% | 37.3% | 15.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.49flagged Aug 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 17.0% | 32.2% | 15.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.49flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 24.5% | 39.7% | 15.2 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.49flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 17.5% | 32.4% | 14.9 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.49flagged Sep 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 50.0% | 64.9% | 14.9 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.49flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 5.5% | 20.2% | 14.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.99flagged Aug 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 33.5% | 48.2% | 14.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 14.5% | 29.1% | 14.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 21.5% | 36.0% | 14.5 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.99flagged Sep 22, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 49.0% | 63.1% | 14.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.99flagged Sep 3, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 31.0% | 17.2% | 13.8 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 23.0% | 36.8% | 13.8 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.99flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 93.0% | 79.3% | 13.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.99flagged Aug 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 14.0% | 27.5% | 13.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 30.0% | 43.5% | 13.5 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 16.5% | 29.9% | 13.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.49flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 12.5% | 25.9% | 13.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.49flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 2.0% | 15.4% | 13.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.49flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 20.0% | 33.3% | 13.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 89.5% | 76.3% | 13.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.49flagged Aug 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 40.5% | 53.7% | 13.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $93.49flagged Sep 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 50.0% | 36.9% | 13.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.99flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 86.0% | 73.0% | 13.0 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $69.49flagged Aug 15, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 58.0% | 70.8% | 12.8 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 31.5% | 44.2% | 12.7 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $107.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 24.0% | 11.3% | 12.7 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.49flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 15.0% | 27.7% | 12.7 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.49flagged Aug 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 10.5% | 23.1% | 12.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.49flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 82.5% | 69.9% | 12.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $70.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 53.5% | 66.0% | 12.5 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $93.49flagged Sep 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 77.0% | 64.5% | 12.5 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $79.49flagged Aug 23, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 97.5% | 85.0% | 12.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $90.49flagged Sep 22, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 43.0% | 55.5% | 12.5 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 94.5% | 82.0% | 12.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.49flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 28.0% | 40.5% | 12.5 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.49flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 61.5% | 49.1% | 12.4 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.49flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 7.0% | 19.3% | 12.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.99flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 11.0% | 23.3% | 12.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 11.5% | 23.8% | 12.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $93.99flagged Sep 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 73.0% | 60.7% | 12.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.49flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 14.5% | 26.8% | 12.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 22.0% | 34.2% | 12.2 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 5.5% | 17.7% | 12.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $94.49flagged Sep 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 69.0% | 56.9% | 12.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $90.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 17.5% | 29.6% | 12.1 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.99flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 96.5% | 84.6% | 11.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 24.0% | 35.9% | 11.9 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 81.5% | 69.7% | 11.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.99flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 11.5% | 23.3% | 11.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 1.5% | 13.3% | 11.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.99flagged Aug 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 7.5% | 19.2% | 11.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 21.0% | 32.7% | 11.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 35.0% | 46.6% | 11.6 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $90.99flagged Sep 22, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 36.0% | 47.6% | 11.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $77.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 87.5% | 99.1% | 11.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $77.99flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 87.0% | 98.6% | 11.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $102.49flagged Sep 10, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 53.0% | 64.6% | 11.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.49flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 36.5% | 48.1% | 11.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $96.99flagged Sep 10, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 70.5% | 59.0% | 11.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $70.49flagged Aug 16, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 57.5% | 69.0% | 11.5 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.99flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 21.0% | 32.5% | 11.5 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.99flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 55.0% | 66.5% | 11.5 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $102.99flagged Sep 10, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 49.0% | 60.5% | 11.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $76.99flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 88.0% | 99.4% | 11.4 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.99flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 18.0% | 29.4% | 11.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $78.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 86.5% | 97.9% | 11.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.49flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 36.0% | 47.3% | 11.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $78.99flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 85.5% | 96.8% | 11.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $72.49flagged Aug 16, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 76.0% | 64.7% | 11.3 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.99flagged Aug 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 48.0% | 59.3% | 11.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 15.0% | 26.3% | 11.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 33.5% | 44.8% | 11.3 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $103.49flagged Sep 10, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 45.0% | 56.2% | 11.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.49flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 84.5% | 73.3% | 11.2 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $63.49flagged Aug 15, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 70.0% | 81.2% | 11.2 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $76.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 88.5% | 99.7% | 11.2 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.99flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 87.0% | 75.9% | 11.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 21.5% | 32.6% | 11.1 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $90.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 9.5% | 20.6% | 11.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $94.99flagged Sep 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 64.0% | 52.9% | 11.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 30.0% | 41.1% | 11.1 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 26.5% | 37.6% | 11.1 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.99flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 50.0% | 61.0% | 11.0 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.49flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 10.0% | 21.0% | 11.0 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 32.0% | 42.9% | 10.9 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.99flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 77.0% | 66.1% | 10.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.99flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 87.5% | 76.7% | 10.8 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.49flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 91.0% | 80.2% | 10.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.99flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 5.0% | 15.8% | 10.8 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.99flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 89.5% | 78.7% | 10.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.99flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 82.0% | 92.7% | 10.7 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.49flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 90.5% | 79.8% | 10.7 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 17.5% | 28.1% | 10.6 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.49flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 27.0% | 37.6% | 10.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.99flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 25.5% | 36.1% | 10.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $90.99flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 7.5% | 18.1% | 10.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $94.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 13.5% | 24.1% | 10.6 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 20.5% | 31.1% | 10.6 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.49flagged Sep 3, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 21.5% | 10.9% | 10.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.99flagged Sep 3, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 18.0% | 7.5% | 10.5 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.99flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 94.5% | 84.0% | 10.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $79.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 85.0% | 95.4% | 10.4 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $95.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 12.5% | 22.8% | 10.3 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.99flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 13.5% | 23.8% | 10.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 29.0% | 39.3% | 10.3 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $65.49flagged Aug 15, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 67.5% | 77.8% | 10.3 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.99flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 80.0% | 69.8% | 10.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 16.5% | 26.7% | 10.2 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.99flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 23.0% | 33.2% | 10.2 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $96.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 11.5% | 21.6% | 10.1 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 97.0% | 86.9% | 10.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $95.49flagged Sep 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 59.0% | 48.9% | 10.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $79.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 38.5% | 48.6% | 10.1 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $100.49flagged Sep 12, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 35.0% | 45.0% | 10.0 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 8.5% | 18.4% | 9.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.49flagged Sep 22, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 30.0% | 39.9% | 9.9 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.49flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 1.5% | 11.4% | 9.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.49flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 81.0% | 71.1% | 9.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $93.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 15.5% | 25.4% | 9.9 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $103.99flagged Sep 10, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 42.0% | 51.8% | 9.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.99flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 92.5% | 82.7% | 9.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.49flagged Aug 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 6.0% | 15.8% | 9.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 30.0% | 39.7% | 9.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.49flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 47.5% | 57.1% | 9.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $99.49flagged Sep 11, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 54.0% | 63.5% | 9.5 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $78.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 41.0% | 50.5% | 9.5 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 42.5% | 51.9% | 9.4 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.49flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 90.5% | 81.2% | 9.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.99flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 85.5% | 76.2% | 9.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 6.5% | 15.8% | 9.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.49flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 19.0% | 28.3% | 9.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 24.5% | 33.8% | 9.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $98.49flagged Sep 11, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 54.0% | 63.3% | 9.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.49flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 94.5% | 85.3% | 9.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.99flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 4.5% | 13.7% | 9.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.49flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 96.5% | 87.4% | 9.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.49flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 75.0% | 66.0% | 9.0 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $98.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 10.5% | 19.4% | 8.9 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.99flagged Aug 19, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 92.0% | 83.2% | 8.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.49flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 11.0% | 19.8% | 8.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.49flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 18.5% | 27.3% | 8.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.49flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 4.0% | 12.8% | 8.8 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.99flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 84.5% | 75.7% | 8.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $99.99flagged Sep 11, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 50.0% | 58.7% | 8.7 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $77.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 85.5% | 76.8% | 8.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.99flagged Aug 22, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 41.0% | 49.6% | 8.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.49flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 7.5% | 16.1% | 8.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.99flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 9.5% | 18.1% | 8.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.49flagged Aug 25, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 29.0% | 37.5% | 8.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.49flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 19.0% | 27.5% | 8.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.99flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 94.0% | 85.5% | 8.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $97.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 12.0% | 20.5% | 8.5 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $77.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 44.0% | 52.5% | 8.5 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $96.49flagged Sep 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 47.0% | 38.6% | 8.5 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.49flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 88.5% | 80.0% | 8.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $90.49flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 13.0% | 21.4% | 8.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.99flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 96.0% | 87.6% | 8.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 3.5% | 11.9% | 8.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.99flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 16.0% | 24.3% | 8.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $99.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 10.0% | 18.3% | 8.3 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $75.49flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 96.0% | 87.7% | 8.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.49flagged Aug 19, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 87.5% | 79.2% | 8.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 43.0% | 51.3% | 8.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.99flagged Aug 19, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 83.0% | 74.7% | 8.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.99flagged Aug 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 4.5% | 12.8% | 8.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 1.5% | 9.7% | 8.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $90.99flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 10.5% | 18.7% | 8.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.49flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 87.5% | 95.7% | 8.2 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.49flagged Aug 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 56.5% | 64.7% | 8.2 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.49flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 94.0% | 85.9% | 8.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $95.99flagged Sep 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 53.5% | 45.4% | 8.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.49flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 45.0% | 36.9% | 8.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.49flagged Aug 15, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 56.0% | 64.1% | 8.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.99flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 51.0% | 42.9% | 8.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $93.49flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 34.0% | 25.9% | 8.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $95.49flagged Sep 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 60.5% | 52.5% | 8.0 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $79.99flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 97.0% | 89.0% | 8.0 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $95.99flagged Sep 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 53.0% | 45.0% | 8.0 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.99flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 35.0% | 43.0% | 8.0 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.49flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 79.0% | 71.0% | 8.0 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $104.49flagged Sep 10, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 39.5% | 47.5% | 8.0 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 13.5% | 21.5% | 8.0 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $75.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 48.5% | 56.5% | 8.0 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.99flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 16.0% | 23.9% | 7.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.49flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 12.0% | 19.9% | 7.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.99flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 35.5% | 43.4% | 7.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.99flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 23.0% | 30.9% | 7.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.49flagged Aug 19, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 19.0% | 26.9% | 7.9 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.99flagged Aug 25, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 37.0% | 44.9% | 7.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.49flagged Aug 19, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 94.5% | 86.6% | 7.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $101.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 8.5% | 16.4% | 7.9 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.49flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 30.5% | 38.4% | 7.8 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $100.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 9.5% | 17.3% | 7.8 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $98.99flagged Sep 11, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 51.0% | 58.8% | 7.8 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.49flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 57.0% | 49.2% | 7.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.49flagged Aug 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 87.0% | 79.2% | 7.8 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.99flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 39.0% | 31.2% | 7.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $93.99flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 29.0% | 21.2% | 7.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $90.49flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 49.0% | 56.8% | 7.8 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.49flagged Aug 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 16.0% | 23.8% | 7.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $93.99flagged Sep 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 70.5% | 62.7% | 7.8 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.99flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 8.5% | 16.2% | 7.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $98.99flagged Sep 11, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 51.0% | 58.7% | 7.7 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.49flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 8.5% | 16.2% | 7.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $100.99flagged Sep 12, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 32.5% | 40.2% | 7.7 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $76.49flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 90.5% | 82.8% | 7.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $79.99flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 91.5% | 83.9% | 7.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $114.99flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 12.5% | 4.9% | 7.6 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.99flagged Aug 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 21.0% | 28.6% | 7.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $100.99flagged Sep 11, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 42.5% | 50.1% | 7.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.99flagged Aug 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 91.0% | 83.4% | 7.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.99flagged Aug 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 82.0% | 74.4% | 7.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 70.0% | 62.5% | 7.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $97.49flagged Sep 19, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 28.0% | 35.5% | 7.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $90.99flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 63.0% | 55.5% | 7.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.49flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 27.0% | 34.5% | 7.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 6.5% | 14.0% | 7.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.99flagged Aug 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 12.0% | 19.5% | 7.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $68.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 62.5% | 70.0% | 7.5 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $102.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 8.0% | 15.4% | 7.4 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.49flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 87.0% | 79.6% | 7.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $76.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 87.5% | 80.1% | 7.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.49flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 21.0% | 28.4% | 7.4 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.49flagged Sep 3, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 89.5% | 96.9% | 7.4 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.49flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 33.5% | 40.9% | 7.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.99flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 9.0% | 16.4% | 7.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $96.49flagged Sep 19, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 37.0% | 44.4% | 7.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $90.49flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 71.0% | 63.6% | 7.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.99flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 69.5% | 62.2% | 7.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $90.49flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 69.0% | 61.7% | 7.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.49flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 41.0% | 48.3% | 7.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.49flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 48.5% | 55.8% | 7.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.99flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 36.5% | 43.8% | 7.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $79.49flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 94.5% | 87.2% | 7.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $63.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 86.5% | 79.2% | 7.3 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.49flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 6.0% | 13.3% | 7.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.49flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 56.5% | 49.3% | 7.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.99flagged Sep 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 61.5% | 68.7% | 7.2 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $96.99flagged Sep 19, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 33.0% | 40.2% | 7.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $96.99flagged Sep 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 28.5% | 35.7% | 7.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.99flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 3.0% | 10.2% | 7.2 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.99flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 3.0% | 10.2% | 7.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $95.49flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 14.5% | 7.3% | 7.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.99flagged Aug 19, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 24.5% | 31.6% | 7.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.49flagged Sep 25, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 66.0% | 58.9% | 7.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.49flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 67.0% | 59.9% | 7.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.99flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 73.0% | 65.9% | 7.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.49flagged Aug 19, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 11.5% | 18.6% | 7.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $75.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 92.5% | 85.4% | 7.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $103.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 7.5% | 14.6% | 7.1 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $99.49flagged Sep 11, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 47.0% | 54.0% | 7.0 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.99flagged Aug 19, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 15.5% | 22.5% | 7.0 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $62.99flagged Aug 15, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 75.5% | 82.5% | 7.0 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $74.49flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 98.5% | 91.5% | 7.0 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $76.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 47.5% | 54.5% | 7.0 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $94.49flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 24.0% | 17.0% | 7.0 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.99flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 67.5% | 60.5% | 7.0 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.49flagged Aug 19, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 71.0% | 64.0% | 7.0 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.49flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 77.5% | 70.5% | 7.0 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.49flagged Aug 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 94.0% | 87.1% | 6.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.99flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 90.0% | 96.9% | 6.9 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.49flagged Aug 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 27.0% | 33.9% | 6.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.49flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 96.0% | 89.1% | 6.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $98.49flagged Sep 11, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 57.0% | 63.9% | 6.9 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $79.99flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 97.0% | 90.2% | 6.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.99flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 82.0% | 75.2% | 6.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.49flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 96.5% | 89.7% | 6.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.49flagged Aug 19, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 30.0% | 36.8% | 6.8 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $74.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 96.5% | 89.7% | 6.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $104.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 7.0% | 13.7% | 6.7 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.99flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 92.0% | 85.3% | 6.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $104.99flagged Sep 10, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 36.5% | 43.2% | 6.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.49flagged Aug 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 9.0% | 15.7% | 6.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.49flagged Aug 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 3.5% | 10.2% | 6.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.99flagged Sep 25, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 60.5% | 53.8% | 6.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $101.49flagged Sep 12, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 29.0% | 35.7% | 6.7 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.99flagged Aug 19, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 8.5% | 15.2% | 6.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.99flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 77.0% | 70.3% | 6.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.49flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 6.5% | 13.1% | 6.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.99flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 91.0% | 97.6% | 6.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.49flagged Sep 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 52.5% | 59.1% | 6.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $94.99flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 20.0% | 13.5% | 6.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $77.49flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 89.5% | 83.0% | 6.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $109.99flagged Sep 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 8.5% | 15.0% | 6.5 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $79.99flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 90.0% | 83.5% | 6.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 16.0% | 22.5% | 6.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $71.49flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 58.5% | 65.0% | 6.5 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.99flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 72.5% | 66.0% | 6.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.99flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 7.5% | 14.0% | 6.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.49flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 5.5% | 12.0% | 6.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $77.49flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 83.5% | 77.0% | 6.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $78.99flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 96.5% | 90.1% | 6.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.99flagged Aug 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 6.0% | 12.4% | 6.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $90.49flagged Sep 3, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 67.0% | 73.4% | 6.4 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $79.99flagged Aug 19, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 96.0% | 89.6% | 6.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.99flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 74.0% | 67.6% | 6.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $72.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 56.5% | 62.9% | 6.4 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $102.99flagged Sep 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 51.5% | 57.9% | 6.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.99flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 74.0% | 80.3% | 6.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $93.99flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 24.5% | 18.2% | 6.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.99flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 26.0% | 19.7% | 6.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.49flagged Aug 22, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 39.0% | 45.3% | 6.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $93.99flagged Sep 3, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 9.0% | 2.7% | 6.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $78.99flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 78.0% | 84.3% | 6.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.99flagged Sep 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 42.0% | 35.7% | 6.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $93.49flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 29.5% | 23.2% | 6.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $76.49flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 94.0% | 87.7% | 6.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $95.99flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 11.5% | 5.2% | 6.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $77.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 86.5% | 80.2% | 6.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.49flagged Sep 25, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 55.0% | 48.7% | 6.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.49flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 20.0% | 13.8% | 6.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $95.99flagged Sep 3, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 11.5% | 5.3% | 6.2 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.49flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 41.5% | 35.3% | 6.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $64.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 83.0% | 76.8% | 6.2 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.99flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 32.0% | 38.2% | 6.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $79.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 97.0% | 90.8% | 6.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 27.0% | 33.2% | 6.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 95.0% | 88.8% | 6.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.49flagged Aug 19, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 76.0% | 69.9% | 6.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.49flagged Aug 22, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 48.0% | 54.1% | 6.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.99flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 19.0% | 12.9% | 6.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $79.49flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 93.0% | 86.9% | 6.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.49flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 80.5% | 86.6% | 6.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.99flagged Aug 29, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 72.0% | 65.9% | 6.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.49flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 26.5% | 32.6% | 6.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.99flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 21.5% | 27.6% | 6.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.99flagged Sep 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 62.5% | 56.4% | 6.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.99flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 35.0% | 28.9% | 6.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $94.49flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 20.0% | 13.9% | 6.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.99flagged Aug 26, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 15.0% | 21.1% | 6.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $76.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 91.5% | 85.4% | 6.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $95.49flagged Sep 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 44.0% | 50.0% | 6.0 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.49flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 10.5% | 16.5% | 6.0 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $73.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 54.5% | 60.5% | 6.0 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $71.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 58.0% | 64.0% | 6.0 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.99flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 4.5% | 10.5% | 6.0 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $112.99flagged Sep 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 7.5% | 13.5% | 6.0 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.99flagged Aug 26, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 45.0% | 39.0% | 6.0 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $90.99flagged Sep 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 57.5% | 63.5% | 6.0 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.99flagged Aug 30, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 49.0% | 55.0% | 6.0 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.99flagged Sep 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 43.0% | 48.9% | 5.9 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $105.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 7.0% | 12.9% | 5.9 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $79.99flagged Aug 26, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 61.0% | 55.1% | 5.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.49flagged Aug 25, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 46.5% | 52.4% | 5.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 59.0% | 53.1% | 5.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.99flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 2.5% | 8.4% | 5.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $96.49flagged Sep 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 47.0% | 41.1% | 5.9 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $90.49flagged Sep 23, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 41.0% | 35.1% | 5.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.99flagged Aug 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 96.0% | 90.1% | 5.9 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.49flagged Sep 3, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 83.5% | 89.4% | 5.9 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $105.99flagged Sep 15, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 54.0% | 59.8% | 5.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.49flagged Aug 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 75.0% | 69.2% | 5.8 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.49flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 79.0% | 73.2% | 5.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $94.49flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 9.0% | 3.2% | 5.8 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.99flagged Aug 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 64.0% | 69.8% | 5.8 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $75.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 95.5% | 89.7% | 5.8 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.49flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 93.0% | 98.8% | 5.8 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $90.99flagged Sep 3, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 79.5% | 85.2% | 5.7 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.99flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 53.5% | 47.8% | 5.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.99flagged Aug 19, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 36.5% | 42.2% | 5.7 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $79.49flagged Aug 15, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 66.5% | 72.2% | 5.7 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $106.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 6.5% | 12.2% | 5.7 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $93.99flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 11.0% | 5.3% | 5.7 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.99flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 4.5% | 10.2% | 5.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $93.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 3.0% | 8.7% | 5.7 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $96.49flagged Sep 9, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 55.0% | 60.7% | 5.7 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.49flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 43.0% | 48.6% | 5.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $79.49flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 75.5% | 69.9% | 5.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.49flagged Sep 25, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 63.0% | 57.4% | 5.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $101.49flagged Sep 11, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 39.5% | 45.1% | 5.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.49flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 76.0% | 70.4% | 5.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $93.49flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 3.0% | 8.6% | 5.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.49flagged Sep 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 48.0% | 42.4% | 5.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.99flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 5.0% | 10.6% | 5.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.49flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 67.0% | 72.6% | 5.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $78.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 75.5% | 69.9% | 5.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $94.99flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 16.0% | 10.4% | 5.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $95.49flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 16.0% | 10.4% | 5.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.99flagged Aug 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 34.0% | 39.6% | 5.6 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.49flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 82.0% | 76.4% | 5.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.49flagged Aug 26, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 52.5% | 47.0% | 5.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.99flagged Sep 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 55.0% | 49.5% | 5.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.99flagged Aug 23, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 57.0% | 62.5% | 5.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $78.99flagged Aug 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 76.5% | 82.0% | 5.5 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $74.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 53.0% | 58.5% | 5.5 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.49flagged Sep 3, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 85.5% | 91.0% | 5.5 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $82.49flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 66.0% | 60.5% | 5.5 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.49flagged Oct 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 41.0% | 35.6% | 5.4 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $90.99flagged Sep 25, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 68.0% | 62.6% | 5.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.49flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 93.0% | 98.4% | 5.4 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.49flagged Aug 26, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 37.0% | 31.6% | 5.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $73.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 98.5% | 93.1% | 5.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.49flagged Sep 3, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 72.0% | 77.4% | 5.4 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $93.49flagged Sep 3, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 10.0% | 4.6% | 5.4 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $67.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 66.5% | 71.9% | 5.4 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $79.99flagged Aug 15, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 62.5% | 67.9% | 5.4 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $90.99flagged Sep 25, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 67.0% | 61.6% | 5.4 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.99flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 47.5% | 42.1% | 5.4 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $94.99flagged Sep 3, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 19.0% | 13.6% | 5.4 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $111.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 4.0% | 9.4% | 5.4 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.99flagged Sep 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 79.0% | 84.4% | 5.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.49flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 50.5% | 55.8% | 5.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.49flagged Sep 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 84.5% | 89.8% | 5.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $115.99flagged Aug 25, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 10.0% | 4.7% | 5.3 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.49flagged Sep 25, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 54.0% | 48.7% | 5.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $100.49flagged Sep 11, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 48.5% | 53.8% | 5.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $87.99flagged Sep 3, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 79.0% | 84.3% | 5.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $108.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 5.5% | 10.8% | 5.3 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 43.0% | 48.3% | 5.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.99flagged Sep 25, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 49.0% | 43.7% | 5.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $97.49flagged Sep 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 32.0% | 37.3% | 5.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $94.49flagged Sep 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 70.0% | 64.7% | 5.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $92.49flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 24.0% | 18.7% | 5.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $79.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 56.0% | 61.3% | 5.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $95.49flagged Sep 3, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 14.0% | 8.7% | 5.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $99.99flagged Sep 11, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 44.0% | 49.3% | 5.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $89.49flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 3.0% | 8.3% | 5.3 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $69.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 62.0% | 67.3% | 5.3 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.49flagged Aug 26, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 11.0% | 16.2% | 5.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.99flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 66.5% | 61.3% | 5.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.99flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 28.0% | 33.2% | 5.2 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $84.99flagged Aug 26, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 7.0% | 12.2% | 5.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $93.49flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 14.5% | 9.3% | 5.2 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $78.99flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 95.0% | 89.8% | 5.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $90.49flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 9.0% | 14.2% | 5.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $94.99flagged Sep 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 53.0% | 58.2% | 5.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $94.99flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 7.0% | 1.8% | 5.2 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.49flagged Aug 31, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 19.0% | 24.2% | 5.2 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $80.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 54.5% | 59.7% | 5.2 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.99flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 33.0% | 38.2% | 5.2 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $81.99flagged Aug 26, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 30.0% | 24.8% | 5.2 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $78.49flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 75.5% | 70.4% | 5.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $113.99flagged Sep 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 7.5% | 12.6% | 5.1 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $83.49flagged Aug 29, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 43.0% | 48.1% | 5.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $79.49flagged Aug 26, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 72.0% | 66.9% | 5.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.99flagged Sep 23, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 50.0% | 44.9% | 5.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $116.99flagged Aug 26, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 9.0% | 3.9% | 5.1 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $86.99flagged Sep 3, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 88.5% | 93.6% | 5.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $90.99flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 61.5% | 56.4% | 5.1 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $85.49flagged Aug 22, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 67.0% | 61.9% | 5.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $110.99flagged Aug 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 5.5% | 10.5% | 5.1 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $91.49flagged Sep 30, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 37.0% | 42.0% | 5.0 | Open |
| ▸WTI ≥ $95.99flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 13.0% | 8.0% | 5.0 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $96.49flagged Sep 5, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 11.0% | 6.0% | 5.0 | Fair value right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $105.49flagged Sep 10, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical-v2 | 34.0% | 39.0% | 5.0 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $75.49flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 96.5% | 91.5% | 5.0 | Market right |
| ▸WTI ≥ $88.49flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 3.0% | 8.0% | 5.0 | Fair value right |
stocks
64 flags · 48 resolved2548% fair23
Market rightFair right
stocks
64
Flagged
48
Resolved
49.3pt
Largest gap
13.7pt
Avg gap
Still within chance (n = 48, p ≈ 0.89)
Show all 64 flags
Showing 64 of 64 flags
| Which side was right | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸RUT ≥ 2950flagged Sep 2, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 98.5% | 49.2% | 49.3 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7575–7599.9999flagged Sep 11, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 10.0% | 46.5% | 36.5 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7650–7674.9999flagged Sep 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 10.5% | 43.3% | 32.8 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7675–7699.9999flagged Aug 25, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 43.5% | 17.2% | 26.3 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7700–7724.9999flagged Sep 25, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 12.0% | 36.4% | 24.4 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7625–7649.9999flagged Sep 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 28.5% | 5.3% | 23.2 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7675–7699.9999flagged Sep 9, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 15.5% | 38.4% | 22.9 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7600–7624.9999flagged Sep 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 22.5% | 0.4% | 22.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7625–7649.9999flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 11.5% | 30.7% | 19.2 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7650–7674.9999flagged Sep 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 19.5% | 0.3% | 19.2 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7700–7724.9999flagged Sep 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 4.0% | 22.7% | 18.7 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7700–7724.9999flagged Aug 25, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 23.5% | 4.9% | 18.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7575–7599.9999flagged Sep 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 17.0% | 0.3% | 16.7 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7675–7699.9999flagged Sep 11, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 16.5% | 0.0% | 16.5 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7750–7774.9999flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 22.5% | 6.3% | 16.2 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7650–7674.9999flagged Sep 29, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 11.5% | 27.5% | 16.0 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7750–7774.9999flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 11.5% | 26.4% | 14.9 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7750–7774.9999flagged Sep 23, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 16.5% | 29.9% | 13.4 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7600–7624.9999flagged Aug 21, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 7.5% | 20.9% | 13.4 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7700–7724.9999flagged Oct 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 18.5% | 5.8% | 12.7 | Open |
| ▸SPX 7575–7599.9999flagged Sep 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 12.5% | 0.0% | 12.5 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7725–7749.9999flagged Aug 27, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 22.0% | 9.7% | 12.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7700–7724.9999flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 30.5% | 18.6% | 11.8 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7625–7649.9999flagged Sep 11, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 16.0% | 4.4% | 11.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7675–7699.9999flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 17.5% | 6.5% | 11.0 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7550–7574.9999flagged Sep 11, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 7.5% | 18.1% | 10.6 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7650–7674.9999flagged Sep 10, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 15.5% | 5.2% | 10.3 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7600–7624.9999flagged Sep 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 16.0% | 6.1% | 9.9 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7625–7649.9999flagged Oct 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 9.5% | 19.1% | 9.6 | Open |
| ▸SPX 7700–7724.9999flagged Aug 19, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 1.5% | 11.0% | 9.5 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7600–7624.9999flagged Sep 16, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 10.0% | 19.2% | 9.2 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7775–7799.9999flagged Aug 16, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 24.5% | 15.4% | 9.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7575–7599.9999flagged Sep 16, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 8.5% | 17.5% | 9.0 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7700–7724.9999flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 20.5% | 28.8% | 8.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7725–7749.9999flagged Aug 25, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 9.0% | 0.7% | 8.3 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7675–7699.9999flagged Sep 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 12.5% | 4.5% | 8.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7600–7624.9999flagged Oct 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 7.0% | 14.7% | 7.7 | Open |
| ▸SPX 7675–7699.9999flagged Aug 20, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 23.5% | 15.8% | 7.7 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7800–7824.9999flagged Aug 16, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 23.0% | 15.4% | 7.6 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7650–7674.9999flagged Oct 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 12.0% | 19.3% | 7.2 | Open |
| ▸SPX 7800–7824.9999flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 22.5% | 15.4% | 7.0 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7650–7674.9999flagged Aug 28, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 8.5% | 1.7% | 6.8 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7625–7649.9999flagged Sep 17, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 17.5% | 24.3% | 6.8 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7725–7749.9999flagged Sep 29, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 15.5% | 8.9% | 6.6 | Open |
| ▸SPX 7675–7699.9999flagged Sep 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 9.0% | 2.6% | 6.4 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7200–7399.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 3.5% | 9.8% | 6.3 | Open |
| ▸SPX 8000–8199.99flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 16.5% | 10.2% | 6.3 | Open |
| ▸SPX 7700–7724.9999flagged Sep 3, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 12.0% | 18.1% | 6.1 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7675–7699.9999flagged Oct 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 16.0% | 22.0% | 6.0 | Open |
| ▸SPX 7675–7699.9999flagged Oct 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 20.5% | 14.7% | 5.8 | Open |
| ▸SPX 7775–7799.9999flagged Sep 23, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 18.0% | 23.6% | 5.6 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7675–7699.9999flagged Sep 30, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 25.5% | 31.1% | 5.6 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7775–7799.9999flagged Aug 13, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 22.0% | 16.4% | 5.5 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7800–7824.9999flagged Oct 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 5.5% | 0.0% | 5.5 | Open |
| ▸SPX 7725–7749.9999flagged Aug 31, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 4.5% | 9.9% | 5.4 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7650–7674.9999flagged Aug 31, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 17.0% | 11.6% | 5.4 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7525–7549.9999flagged Oct 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 5.5% | 0.1% | 5.4 | Open |
| ▸SPX 7750–7774.9999flagged Sep 29, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 11.5% | 6.2% | 5.3 | Open |
| ▸SPX 7650–7674.9999flagged Sep 1, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 20.5% | 25.7% | 5.2 | Market right |
| ▸SPX 7725–7749.9999flagged Aug 18, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 15.0% | 9.8% | 5.2 | Fair value right |
| ▸SPX 7000–7199.99flagged Aug 16, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 2.5% | 7.7% | 5.2 | Open |
| ▸SPX 7600–7799.99flagged Sep 9, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 9.5% | 14.6% | 5.1 | Open |
| ▸SPX 7800–7999.99flagged Aug 24, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 16.5% | 11.4% | 5.1 | Open |
| ▸SPX 7400–7599.99flagged Aug 14, 2026 · benchmark: realized-vol-statistical | 6.5% | 11.6% | 5.1 | Open |