November 2026 CPI (MOM) — CPI Inflation Odds
What the prediction markets imply for the November 2026 CPI (MOM), next to our independent fair value.
Reference Report for this event
Live data begins once this market is priced. Subscribe for live updates.
| Outcome | Market | Scopes Fair Value | Scopes Divergence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0% | — | — | — |
| Above 0.1% | — | — | — |
| Above 0.2% | — | — | — |
| Above 0.3% | — | — | — |
| Above 0.4% | — | — | — |
| Above 0.5% | — | — | — |
| Above -0.1% | — | — | — |
Fair-value and market data will appear here once the event is priced and computed.
How the fair value is set
Our fair value is derived independently of the prediction market — from the Cleveland Fed inflation nowcast, converted to above/below-threshold probabilities. When the market and the Scopes Fair Value diverge, that gap is what we watch, and score publicly.
- Scopes Fair Value :
- an independent probability estimate computed from fed-funds-futures–implied odds and published macro nowcasts (Cleveland Fed, GDPNow).
- Scopes Divergence :
- the difference between the market price and the Scopes Fair Value.
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