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The Scope · sports

Thunder at Rockets

The last hour before settlement, by the minute. Settlement (T0): Oct 31, 10:48 PM EDT. Outcome: Rockets won. Market lanes: Kalshi, Polymarket (LIVE). Fair value: de-vigged pre-game line, held flat (in-play not modeled).

KalshiPolymarketpre-game fair (reference)Hover to read values · drag to zoom
0255075100toss-upT-60T-30T057%
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Late volume
6%last 10 min
Avg width
1 pt
Captured
55/61minutes

The fair line is a pre-game reference, held flat. In-play is not modeled for sports, so the distance between the live market and that line is not scored as a divergence; it mostly reflects the game being decided. A live sports gap is measured venue against venue, which needs a second venue lane.

Minute table (Kalshi lane)
MinuteMidBidAskFairGap
T-607978795721.2
T-597978795721.2
T-587978795721.2
T-577978795721.2
T-567978795721.2
T-557978795721.2
T-548079805722.2
T-538382835725.2
T-529291925734.2
T-519291925734.2
T-509190915733.2
T-499190915733.2
T-488685865728.2
T-478988895731.2
T-468887885730.2
T-458483845726.2
T-449089905732.2
T-438786875729.2
T-428786875729.2
T-418786875729.2
T-408685865728.2
T-398988895731.2
T-389493945736.2
T-379089905732.2
T-368988895731.2
T-359190915733.2
T-348887885730.2
T-339392935735.2
T-329695965738.2
T-319695965738.2
T-309695965738.2
T-299695965738.2
T-289695965738.2
T-279796975739.2
T-269796975739.2
T-259897985740.2
T-249897985740.2
T-239998995741.2
T-229998995741.2
T-21100991005742.2
T-20100991005742.2
T-19100991005742.2
T-18100991005742.2
T-17100991005742.2
T-16100991005742.2
T-15100991005742.2
T-14100991005742.2
T-13100991005742.2
T-12100991005742.2
T-11100991005742.2
T-10100991005742.2
T-9100991005742.2
T-8100991005742.2
T-7100991005742.2
T-6100991005742.2

T-5 to T0 hidden. The last five minutes are for subscribers.

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A record of published prices in the hour before settlement, with an independent estimate for context. Not a forecast and not advice. Values are as recorded and are never revised; corrections are appended. Methodology: sports-pregame-v1.