The Scope · sports

Grizzlies at Trail Blazers

The last hour before settlement, by the minute. Settlement (T0): Oct 30, 12:20 AM EDT. Outcome: Trail Blazers lost. Market lanes: Kalshi, Polymarket (LIVE). Fair value: de-vigged pre-game line, held flat (in-play not modeled).

KalshiPolymarketpre-game fair (reference)Hover to read values · drag to zoom

The last five minutes are for subscribers. You are reading T-60 to T-6. The metrics and the settlement stay public; only the final five minutes (T-5 to T0) open with a subscription.

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Late volume: 28%last 10 min
Avg width: 1.1 pt
Captured: 55/61minutes

The fair line is a pre-game reference, held flat. In-play is not modeled for sports, so the distance between the live market and that line is not scored as a divergence; it mostly reflects the game being decided. A live sports gap is measured venue against venue, which needs a second venue lane.

Minute table (Kalshi lane)

Minute	Mid	Bid	Ask	Fair	Gap
T-60	68	67	68	71	3.4
T-59	68	67	68	71	3.4
T-58	68	67	68	71	3.4
T-57	68	67	69	71	2.9
T-56	65	64	65	71	6.4
T-55	74	73	74	71	2.6
T-54	73	72	73	71	1.6
T-53	76	75	77	71	5.1
T-52	66	65	66	71	5.4
T-51	69	67	70	71	2.4
T-50	69	68	69	71	2.4
T-49	70	69	70	71	1.4
T-48	66	65	66	71	5.4
T-47	63	62	63	71	8.4
T-46	69	68	69	71	2.4
T-45	65	64	66	71	5.9
T-44	62	61	62	71	9.4
T-43	61	60	61	71	10.4
T-42	59	58	59	71	12.4
T-41	55	54	56	71	15.9
T-40	59	58	59	71	12.4
T-39	57	57	58	71	13.4
T-38	59	58	59	71	12.4
T-37	56	56	57	71	14.4
T-36	46	45	46	71	25.4
T-35	37	36	37	71	34.4
T-34	37	36	37	71	34.4
T-33	28	27	28	71	43.4
T-32	38	37	38	71	33.4
T-31	38	37	38	71	33.4
T-30	35	34	35	71	36.4
T-29	38	37	38	71	33.4
T-28	38	37	38	71	33.4
T-27	37	36	37	71	34.4
T-26	35	34	35	71	36.4
T-25	41	40	41	71	30.4
T-24	41	40	41	71	30.4
T-23	36	35	36	71	35.4
T-22	24	23	24	71	47.4
T-21	23	22	23	71	48.4
T-20	24	23	24	71	47.4
T-19	23	22	23	71	48.4
T-18	17	16	17	71	54.4
T-17	18	17	18	71	53.4
T-16	14	14	15	71	56.4
T-15	14	13	14	71	57.4
T-14	14	14	15	71	56.4
T-13	13	12	13	71	58.4
T-12	6	5	6	71	65.4
T-11	2	1	2	71	69.4
T-10	1	0	1	71	70.4
T-9	1	0	1	71	70.4
T-8	1	0	1	71	70.4
T-7	1	0	1	71	70.4
T-6	1	0	1	71	70.4

T-5 to T0 hidden. The last five minutes are for subscribers.

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A record of published prices in the hour before settlement, with an independent estimate for context. Not a forecast and not advice. Values are as recorded and are never revised; corrections are appended. Methodology: sports-pregame-v1.