The Scope · sports
Thunder at Mavericks
The last hour before settlement, by the minute. Settlement (T0): Oct 29, 12:06 AM EDT. Outcome: Mavericks won. Market lanes: Kalshi, Polymarket (LIVE). Fair value: de-vigged pre-game line, held flat (in-play not modeled).
- Late volume
- 8%last 10 min
- Avg width
- 1 pt
- Captured
- 55/61minutes
The fair line is a pre-game reference, held flat. In-play is not modeled for sports, so the distance between the live market and that line is not scored as a divergence; it mostly reflects the game being decided. A live sports gap is measured venue against venue, which needs a second venue lane.
Minute table (Kalshi lane)
| Minute | Mid | Bid | Ask | Fair | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T-60 | 51 | 50 | 51 | 37 | 13.1 |
| T-59 | 50 | 49 | 50 | 37 | 12.1 |
| T-58 | 61 | 60 | 61 | 37 | 23.1 |
| T-57 | 63 | 62 | 63 | 37 | 25.1 |
| T-56 | 73 | 72 | 73 | 37 | 35.1 |
| T-55 | 73 | 72 | 73 | 37 | 35.1 |
| T-54 | 73 | 72 | 73 | 37 | 35.1 |
| T-53 | 73 | 72 | 73 | 37 | 35.1 |
| T-52 | 77 | 76 | 77 | 37 | 39.1 |
| T-51 | 77 | 76 | 77 | 37 | 39.1 |
| T-50 | 82 | 81 | 82 | 37 | 44.1 |
| T-49 | 76 | 75 | 76 | 37 | 38.1 |
| T-48 | 70 | 69 | 70 | 37 | 32.1 |
| T-47 | 62 | 61 | 62 | 37 | 24.1 |
| T-46 | 62 | 61 | 62 | 37 | 24.1 |
| T-45 | 62 | 61 | 62 | 37 | 24.1 |
| T-44 | 62 | 61 | 62 | 37 | 24.1 |
| T-43 | 65 | 64 | 66 | 37 | 27.6 |
| T-42 | 68 | 67 | 68 | 37 | 30.1 |
| T-41 | 70 | 69 | 70 | 37 | 32.1 |
| T-40 | 71 | 70 | 71 | 37 | 33.1 |
| T-39 | 70 | 69 | 70 | 37 | 32.1 |
| T-38 | 78 | 77 | 78 | 37 | 40.1 |
| T-37 | 72 | 71 | 72 | 37 | 34.1 |
| T-36 | 75 | 74 | 75 | 37 | 37.1 |
| T-35 | 78 | 77 | 78 | 37 | 40.1 |
| T-34 | 87 | 86 | 87 | 37 | 49.1 |
| T-33 | 84 | 83 | 84 | 37 | 46.1 |
| T-32 | 86 | 85 | 87 | 37 | 48.6 |
| T-31 | 84 | 83 | 84 | 37 | 46.1 |
| T-30 | 84 | 83 | 84 | 37 | 46.1 |
| T-29 | 84 | 83 | 84 | 37 | 46.1 |
| T-28 | 84 | 83 | 84 | 37 | 46.1 |
| T-27 | 81 | 80 | 81 | 37 | 43.1 |
| T-26 | 90 | 89 | 90 | 37 | 52.1 |
| T-25 | 92 | 91 | 92 | 37 | 54.1 |
| T-24 | 93 | 92 | 93 | 37 | 55.1 |
| T-23 | 92 | 91 | 92 | 37 | 54.1 |
| T-22 | 97 | 96 | 97 | 37 | 59.1 |
| T-21 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 37 | 58.1 |
| T-20 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 37 | 58.1 |
| T-19 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 37 | 58.1 |
| T-18 | 97 | 96 | 97 | 37 | 59.1 |
| T-17 | 99 | 98 | 99 | 37 | 61.1 |
| T-16 | 98 | 97 | 98 | 37 | 60.1 |
| T-15 | 98 | 97 | 98 | 37 | 60.1 |
| T-14 | 98 | 97 | 98 | 37 | 60.1 |
| T-13 | 100 | 99 | 100 | 37 | 62.1 |
| T-12 | 100 | 99 | 100 | 37 | 62.1 |
| T-11 | 100 | 99 | 100 | 37 | 62.1 |
| T-10 | 100 | 99 | 100 | 37 | 62.1 |
| T-9 | 100 | 99 | 100 | 37 | 62.1 |
| T-8 | 100 | 99 | 100 | 37 | 62.1 |
| T-7 | 100 | 99 | 100 | 37 | 62.1 |
| T-6 | 100 | 99 | 100 | 37 | 62.1 |
T-5 to T0 hidden. The last five minutes are for subscribers.
Cite and embed
https://scopes.com/scope/sports-26oct28okcdal<iframe src="https://scopes.com/scope/sports-26oct28okcdal/embed" width="480" height="260" style="border:1px solid #e4dfd5" title="The Scope"></iframe>https://scopes.com/api/v1/scopes/sports-26oct28okcdal.jsonA record of published prices in the hour before settlement, with an independent estimate for context. Not a forecast and not advice. Values are as recorded and are never revised; corrections are appended. Methodology: sports-pregame-v1.