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The Scope · sports

Lakers at Clippers

The last hour before settlement, by the minute. Settlement (T0): Oct 29, 1:04 AM EDT. Outcome: Clippers lost. Market lanes: Kalshi, Polymarket (LIVE). Fair value: de-vigged pre-game line, held flat (in-play not modeled).

KalshiPolymarketpre-game fair (reference)Hover to read values · drag to zoom
0255075100toss-upT-60T-30T050%
The last five minutes are for subscribers. You are reading T-60 to T-6. The metrics and the settlement stay public; only the final five minutes (T-5 to T0) open with a subscription.
Late volume
3%last 10 min
Avg width
1 pt
Captured
55/61minutes

The fair line is a pre-game reference, held flat. In-play is not modeled for sports, so the distance between the live market and that line is not scored as a divergence; it mostly reflects the game being decided. A live sports gap is measured venue against venue, which needs a second venue lane.

Minute table (Kalshi lane)
MinuteMidBidAskFairGap
T-602221225028.5
T-592221225028.5
T-582625265024.5
T-572625265024.5
T-562625265024.5
T-552726275023.5
T-542827295022.0
T-531615165034.5
T-521414155035.5
T-511414155035.5
T-509895041.5
T-491312135037.5
T-481211125038.5
T-471110115039.5
T-461110115039.5
T-451211125038.5
T-441211125038.5
T-431110115039.5
T-421413145036.5
T-411211125038.5
T-401110115039.5
T-391312135037.5
T-389895041.5
T-374345046.5
T-364345046.5
T-353235047.5
T-343235047.5
T-334345046.5
T-324345046.5
T-314345046.5
T-304345046.5
T-293235047.5
T-283235047.5
T-274345046.5
T-263235047.5
T-252125048.5
T-242125048.5
T-232125048.5
T-222125048.5
T-211015049.5
T-202125048.5
T-191015049.5
T-181015049.5
T-171015049.5
T-161015049.5
T-151015049.5
T-141015049.5
T-131015049.5
T-121015049.5
T-111015049.5
T-101015049.5
T-91015049.5
T-81015049.5
T-71015049.5
T-61015049.5

T-5 to T0 hidden. The last five minutes are for subscribers.

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A record of published prices in the hour before settlement, with an independent estimate for context. Not a forecast and not advice. Values are as recorded and are never revised; corrections are appended. Methodology: sports-pregame-v1.