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Trail Blazers at Lakers

The last hour before settlement, by the minute. Settlement (T0): Oct 28, 1:58 AM EDT. Outcome: Lakers lost. Market lanes: Kalshi, Polymarket (LIVE). Fair value: de-vigged pre-game line, held flat (in-play not modeled).

KalshiPolymarketpre-game fair (reference)Hover to read values · drag to zoom
0255075100toss-upT-60T-30T053%
The last five minutes are for subscribers. You are reading T-60 to T-6. The metrics and the settlement stay public; only the final five minutes (T-5 to T0) open with a subscription.
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Late volume
24%last 10 min
Avg width
1.1 pt
Captured
55/61minutes

The fair line is a pre-game reference, held flat. In-play is not modeled for sports, so the distance between the live market and that line is not scored as a divergence; it mostly reflects the game being decided. A live sports gap is measured venue against venue, which needs a second venue lane.

Minute table (Kalshi lane)
MinuteMidBidAskFairGap
T-606564655311.3
T-597776775323.3
T-587675765322.3
T-577574755321.3
T-567574755321.3
T-557372735319.3
T-547675765322.3
T-537170715317.3
T-527372735319.3
T-517271725318.3
T-507473745320.3
T-497069705316.3
T-487069705316.3
T-476968695315.3
T-46616061537.3
T-45636263539.3
T-44616061537.3
T-43605960536.3
T-426463645310.3
T-416463645310.3
T-40616062537.8
T-39575758534.3
T-38575758534.3
T-37525152531.7
T-36595859535.3
T-35575758534.3
T-34626162538.3
T-33454445538.7
T-324241435311.2
T-313433345319.7
T-303433345319.7
T-293433345319.7
T-283534355318.7
T-272826295325.7
T-26444344539.7
T-25444344539.7
T-24464546537.7
T-23454445538.7
T-22454445538.7
T-21565657533.3
T-20535254530.2
T-19504950533.7
T-18535253530.7
T-17545354530.3
T-16555455531.3
T-15555455531.3
T-14545354530.3
T-13444246539.2
T-124342445310.2
T-114039405313.7
T-102827285325.7
T-93332335320.7
T-82828295324.7
T-71716175336.7
T-64345349.7

T-5 to T0 hidden. The last five minutes are for subscribers.

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A record of published prices in the hour before settlement, with an independent estimate for context. Not a forecast and not advice. Values are as recorded and are never revised; corrections are appended. Methodology: sports-pregame-v1.