Scopes

The Scope · sports

Warriors at Nuggets

The last hour before settlement, by the minute. Settlement (T0): Oct 27, 12:32 AM EDT. Outcome: Nuggets lost. Market lanes: Kalshi, Polymarket (LIVE). Fair value: de-vigged pre-game line, held flat (in-play not modeled).

KalshiPolymarketpre-game fair (reference)Hover to read values · drag to zoom
0255075100toss-upT-60T-30T071%
The last five minutes are for subscribers. You are reading T-60 to T-6. The metrics and the settlement stay public; only the final five minutes (T-5 to T0) open with a subscription.
Late volume
2%last 10 min
Avg width
1.1 pt
Captured
55/61minutes

The fair line is a pre-game reference, held flat. In-play is not modeled for sports, so the distance between the live market and that line is not scored as a divergence; it mostly reflects the game being decided. A live sports gap is measured venue against venue, which needs a second venue lane.

Minute table (Kalshi lane)
MinuteMidBidAskFairGap
T-605251527119.3
T-594342437128.3
T-584241427129.3
T-573332337138.3
T-562726277144.3
T-553736377134.3
T-543736377134.3
T-533736377134.3
T-523736377134.3
T-513433347137.3
T-503029307141.3
T-493029307141.3
T-482625267145.3
T-473231327139.3
T-463231327139.3
T-453029307141.3
T-443231327139.3
T-433837387133.3
T-423938397132.3
T-414544457126.3
T-403736387133.8
T-392828297142.3
T-382120217150.3
T-371615177154.8
T-361414157156.3
T-351414157156.3
T-341414157156.3
T-331414157156.3
T-321817197152.8
T-311414157156.3
T-301615167155.3
T-291615167155.3
T-287687163.8
T-278787163.3
T-264347167.3
T-254347167.3
T-244347167.3
T-233237168.3
T-223237168.3
T-212127169.3
T-202127169.3
T-192127169.3
T-182127169.3
T-171017170.3
T-162127169.3
T-152127169.3
T-142127169.3
T-132127169.3
T-122127169.3
T-111017170.3
T-101017170.3
T-91017170.3
T-81017170.3
T-71017170.3
T-61017170.3

T-5 to T0 hidden. The last five minutes are for subscribers.

Cite and embed
Permalink
https://scopes.com/scope/sports-26oct26gswden
Embed
<iframe src="https://scopes.com/scope/sports-26oct26gswden/embed" width="480" height="260" style="border:1px solid #e4dfd5" title="The Scope"></iframe>
JSON
https://scopes.com/api/v1/scopes/sports-26oct26gswden.json

More Scopes →

A record of published prices in the hour before settlement, with an independent estimate for context. Not a forecast and not advice. Values are as recorded and are never revised; corrections are appended. Methodology: sports-pregame-v1.