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The Scope · sports

Chiefs at Seahawks

The last hour before settlement, by the minute. Settlement (T0): Oct 25, 11:18 PM EDT. Outcome: Seahawks won. Market lane: Kalshi (LIVE). Fair value: de-vigged pre-game line, held flat (in-play not modeled).

Kalshipre-game fair (reference)Hover to read values · drag to zoom
0255075100toss-upT-60T-30T059%
The last five minutes are for subscribers. You are reading T-60 to T-6. The metrics and the settlement stay public; only the final five minutes (T-5 to T0) open with a subscription.
Late volume
4%last 10 min
Avg width
1 pt
Captured
55/61minutes

The fair line is a pre-game reference, held flat. In-play is not modeled for sports, so the distance between the live market and that line is not scored as a divergence; it mostly reflects the game being decided. A live sports gap is measured venue against venue, which needs a second venue lane.

Minute table
MinuteMidBidAskFairGap
T-608887885928.8
T-598988895929.8
T-588584855925.8
T-578584855925.8
T-568685865926.8
T-558281825922.8
T-548483845924.8
T-538584855925.8
T-529089905930.8
T-518887885928.8
T-508786875927.8
T-498786875927.8
T-488786875927.8
T-478887885928.8
T-468988895929.8
T-458786875927.8
T-448786875927.8
T-438786875927.8
T-428786875927.8
T-418786875927.8
T-408685865926.8
T-398685865926.8
T-388685865926.8
T-378887885928.8
T-368281825922.8
T-358382835923.8
T-348786875927.8
T-338685865926.8
T-328079805920.8
T-318786875927.8
T-309493945934.8
T-299493945934.8
T-289493945934.8
T-279594955935.8
T-269695965936.8
T-259897985938.8
T-249897985938.8
T-239998995939.8
T-229998995939.8
T-219998995939.8
T-209998995939.8
T-199998995939.8
T-18100991005940.8
T-17100991005940.8
T-16100991005940.8
T-15100991005940.8
T-14100991005940.8
T-13100991005940.8
T-12100991005940.8
T-11100991005940.8
T-10100991005940.8
T-9100991005940.8
T-8100991005940.8
T-7100991005940.8
T-6100991005940.8

T-5 to T0 hidden. The last five minutes are for subscribers.

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A record of published prices in the hour before settlement, with an independent estimate for context. Not a forecast and not advice. Values are as recorded and are never revised; corrections are appended. Methodology: sports-pregame-v1.