The Scope · sports

Commanders at 49ers

The last hour before settlement, by the minute. Settlement (T0): Oct 19, 11:22 PM EDT. Outcome: 49ers won. Market lane: Kalshi (LIVE). Fair value: de-vigged pre-game line, held flat (in-play not modeled).

Kalshipre-game fair (reference)Hover to read values · drag to zoom

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Late volume: 0%last 10 min
Avg width: 1 pt
Captured: 55/61minutes

The fair line is a pre-game reference, held flat. In-play is not modeled for sports, so the distance between the live market and that line is not scored as a divergence; it mostly reflects the game being decided. A live sports gap is measured venue against venue, which needs a second venue lane.

Minute table

Minute	Mid	Bid	Ask	Fair	Gap
T-60	97	96	97	78	18.2
T-59	96	95	96	78	17.2
T-58	96	95	96	78	17.2
T-57	96	95	96	78	17.2
T-56	96	95	96	78	17.2
T-55	96	95	96	78	17.2
T-54	95	94	95	78	16.2
T-53	95	94	95	78	16.2
T-52	95	94	95	78	16.2
T-51	94	93	94	78	15.2
T-50	97	96	97	78	18.2
T-49	94	93	94	78	15.2
T-48	94	93	94	78	15.2
T-47	94	93	94	78	15.2
T-46	94	93	94	78	15.2
T-45	95	94	95	78	16.2
T-44	95	94	95	78	16.2
T-43	94	93	94	78	15.2
T-42	94	93	94	78	15.2
T-41	93	92	93	78	14.2
T-40	93	92	93	78	14.2
T-39	94	93	94	78	15.2
T-38	90	89	90	78	11.2
T-37	87	86	87	78	8.2
T-36	87	86	87	78	8.2
T-35	87	86	87	78	8.2
T-34	87	86	87	78	8.2
T-33	87	86	87	78	8.2
T-32	87	86	87	78	8.2
T-31	82	81	82	78	3.2
T-30	78	77	78	78	0.8
T-29	78	77	78	78	0.8
T-28	78	77	78	78	0.8
T-27	79	78	79	78	0.2
T-26	80	79	80	78	1.2
T-25	76	75	76	78	2.8
T-24	69	68	69	78	9.8
T-23	75	74	75	78	3.8
T-22	76	75	76	78	2.8
T-21	83	82	83	78	4.2
T-20	83	82	83	78	4.2
T-19	80	79	81	78	1.7
T-18	73	72	73	78	5.8
T-17	73	72	73	78	5.8
T-16	78	77	78	78	0.8
T-15	78	77	78	78	0.8
T-14	78	77	78	78	0.8
T-13	95	94	95	78	16.2
T-12	94	93	94	78	15.2
T-11	94	93	94	78	15.2
T-10	94	93	94	78	15.2
T-9	92	91	92	78	13.2
T-8	90	89	90	78	11.2
T-7	83	82	83	78	4.2
T-6	80	79	81	78	1.7

T-5 to T0 hidden. The last five minutes are for subscribers.

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A record of published prices in the hour before settlement, with an independent estimate for context. Not a forecast and not advice. Values are as recorded and are never revised; corrections are appended. Methodology: sports-pregame-v1.