The Scope · sports

Guardians at Rays

The last hour before settlement, by the minute. Settlement (T0): Oct 19, 11:06 PM EDT. Outcome: Rays won. Market lane: Kalshi (LIVE). Fair value: de-vigged pre-game line, held flat (in-play not modeled).

Late volume share

30%

last 10 min · this contract

Avg bid-ask width

1 pt

Minutes captured

of 61

Fair value is a pre-game reference. For sports, in-play is not modeled, so the distance between the live market and the flat pre-game line is not scored as a divergence (it mostly reflects the game being decided). A live sports gap is measured venue against venue, which needs a second venue lane.

Kalshipre-game fair (reference)Hover to read values · drag to zoom

The last five minutes are for subscribers. You are reading T-60 to T-6. The five metrics and the settlement are shown above; the final five minutes (T-5 to T0) open with a subscription.

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Minute table

Minute	Mid	Bid	Ask	Fair	Gap
T-60	91	90	91	58	32.1
T-59	91	90	91	58	32.1
T-58	90	89	90	58	31.1
T-57	89	88	90	58	30.6
T-56	89	88	89	58	30.1
T-55	88	87	88	58	29.1
T-54	88	87	88	58	29.1
T-53	88	87	88	58	29.1
T-52	90	89	90	58	31.1
T-51	91	90	91	58	32.1
T-50	90	89	91	58	31.6
T-49	92	91	92	58	33.1
T-48	92	91	92	58	33.1
T-47	92	91	92	58	33.1
T-46	92	91	92	58	33.1
T-45	92	91	92	58	33.1
T-44	98	97	98	58	39.1
T-43	98	97	98	58	39.1
T-42	99	98	99	58	40.1
T-41	99	98	99	58	40.1
T-40	99	98	99	58	40.1
T-39	99	98	99	58	40.1
T-38	99	98	99	58	40.1
T-37	99	98	99	58	40.1
T-36	98	97	98	58	39.1
T-35	99	98	99	58	40.1
T-34	99	98	99	58	40.1
T-33	99	98	99	58	40.1
T-32	99	98	99	58	40.1
T-31	99	98	99	58	40.1
T-30	99	98	99	58	40.1
T-29	98	97	98	58	39.1
T-28	98	97	98	58	39.1
T-27	97	96	97	58	38.1
T-26	95	94	95	58	36.1
T-25	95	94	95	58	36.1
T-24	95	94	95	58	36.1
T-23	95	94	95	58	36.1
T-22	82	81	82	58	23.1
T-21	82	81	82	58	23.1
T-20	83	82	83	58	24.1
T-19	83	82	83	58	24.1
T-18	96	95	96	58	37.1
T-17	95	94	95	58	36.1
T-16	95	94	95	58	36.1
T-15	96	95	96	58	37.1
T-14	96	95	96	58	37.1
T-13	95	94	95	58	36.1
T-12	96	95	96	58	37.1
T-11	99	98	99	58	40.1
T-10	100	99	100	58	41.1
T-9	100	99	100	58	41.1
T-8	100	99	100	58	41.1
T-7	100	99	100	58	41.1
T-6	99	98	99	58	40.1

T-5 to T0 hidden. The last five minutes are for subscribers.

A record of published prices in the hour before settlement, with an independent estimate for context. Not a forecast and not advice. Values are as recorded and are never revised; corrections are appended. Methodology: sports-pregame-v1.