The Scope · sports
Brewers at Dodgers
The last hour before settlement, by the minute. Settlement (T0): Oct 14, 11:16 PM EDT. Outcome: Dodgers lost. Market lane: Kalshi (LIVE). Fair value: de-vigged pre-game line, held flat (in-play not modeled).
Fair value is a pre-game reference. For sports, in-play is not modeled, so the distance between the live market and the flat pre-game line is not scored as a divergence (it mostly reflects the game being decided). A live sports gap is measured venue against venue, which needs a second venue lane.
Minute table
| Minute | Mid | Bid | Ask | Fair | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T-60 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 61 | 41.9 |
| T-59 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 61 | 42.9 |
| T-58 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 61 | 39.9 |
| T-57 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 61 | 39.9 |
| T-56 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 61 | 39.9 |
| T-55 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 61 | 39.9 |
| T-54 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 61 | 44.9 |
| T-53 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 61 | 48.9 |
| T-52 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 61 | 48.9 |
| T-51 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 61 | 48.9 |
| T-50 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 61 | 48.9 |
| T-49 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 61 | 48.9 |
| T-48 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 61 | 47.9 |
| T-47 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 61 | 47.9 |
| T-46 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 61 | 48.9 |
| T-45 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 61 | 48.9 |
| T-44 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 61 | 50.9 |
| T-43 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 61 | 50.9 |
| T-42 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 61 | 50.9 |
| T-41 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 61 | 50.9 |
| T-40 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 61 | 49.9 |
| T-39 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 61 | 53.9 |
| T-38 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 61 | 53.9 |
| T-37 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 61 | 53.9 |
| T-36 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 61 | 53.9 |
| T-35 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 61 | 53.9 |
| T-34 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 61 | 53.9 |
| T-33 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 61 | 54.9 |
| T-32 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 56.9 |
| T-31 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 61 | 57.9 |
| T-30 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 61 | 55.9 |
| T-29 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 61 | 55.9 |
| T-28 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 61 | 55.9 |
| T-27 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 61 | 55.9 |
| T-26 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 56.9 |
| T-25 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 61 | 58.9 |
| T-24 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 61 | 58.9 |
| T-23 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 61 | 58.9 |
| T-22 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 61 | 58.9 |
| T-21 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 61 | 58.9 |
| T-20 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 61 | 58.9 |
| T-19 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 61 | 58.9 |
| T-18 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 61 | 57.9 |
| T-17 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 61 | 57.9 |
| T-16 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 61 | 57.9 |
| T-15 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 61 | 57.9 |
| T-14 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 59.9 |
| T-13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 59.9 |
| T-12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 59.9 |
| T-11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 59.9 |
| T-10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 59.9 |
| T-9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 61 | 60.9 |
| T-8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 61 | 60.9 |
| T-7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 61 | 60.9 |
| T-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 61 | 60.9 |
T-5 to T0 hidden. The last five minutes are for subscribers.
A record of published prices in the hour before settlement, with an independent estimate for context. Not a forecast and not advice. Values are as recorded and are never revised; corrections are appended. Methodology: sports-pregame-v1.