The Scope · sports
Guardians at Rays
The last hour before settlement, by the minute. Settlement (T0): Oct 13, 10:56 PM EDT. Outcome: Rays won. Market lane: Kalshi (LIVE). Fair value: de-vigged pre-game line, held flat (in-play not modeled).
Fair value is a pre-game reference. For sports, in-play is not modeled, so the distance between the live market and the flat pre-game line is not scored as a divergence (it mostly reflects the game being decided). A live sports gap is measured venue against venue, which needs a second venue lane.
Minute table
| Minute | Mid | Bid | Ask | Fair | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T-60 | 93 | 92 | 93 | 55 | 37.1 |
| T-59 | 95 | 94 | 95 | 55 | 39.1 |
| T-58 | 94 | 93 | 94 | 55 | 38.1 |
| T-57 | 94 | 93 | 94 | 55 | 38.1 |
| T-56 | 94 | 93 | 94 | 55 | 38.1 |
| T-55 | 94 | 93 | 94 | 55 | 38.1 |
| T-54 | 93 | 92 | 93 | 55 | 37.1 |
| T-53 | 93 | 92 | 93 | 55 | 37.1 |
| T-52 | 93 | 92 | 93 | 55 | 37.1 |
| T-51 | 93 | 92 | 93 | 55 | 37.1 |
| T-50 | 93 | 92 | 93 | 55 | 37.1 |
| T-49 | 93 | 92 | 93 | 55 | 37.1 |
| T-48 | 92 | 91 | 92 | 55 | 36.1 |
| T-47 | 92 | 91 | 92 | 55 | 36.1 |
| T-46 | 91 | 90 | 91 | 55 | 35.1 |
| T-45 | 87 | 86 | 87 | 55 | 31.1 |
| T-44 | 88 | 87 | 88 | 55 | 32.1 |
| T-43 | 93 | 92 | 93 | 55 | 37.1 |
| T-42 | 93 | 92 | 93 | 55 | 37.1 |
| T-41 | 93 | 92 | 93 | 55 | 37.1 |
| T-40 | 85 | 84 | 85 | 55 | 29.1 |
| T-39 | 86 | 85 | 86 | 55 | 30.1 |
| T-38 | 92 | 91 | 92 | 55 | 36.1 |
| T-37 | 92 | 91 | 92 | 55 | 36.1 |
| T-36 | 92 | 91 | 92 | 55 | 36.1 |
| T-35 | 91 | 90 | 91 | 55 | 35.1 |
| T-34 | 91 | 90 | 91 | 55 | 35.1 |
| T-33 | 91 | 90 | 91 | 55 | 35.1 |
| T-32 | 90 | 89 | 90 | 55 | 34.1 |
| T-31 | 90 | 89 | 90 | 55 | 34.1 |
| T-30 | 90 | 89 | 90 | 55 | 34.1 |
| T-29 | 90 | 89 | 90 | 55 | 34.1 |
| T-28 | 90 | 89 | 90 | 55 | 34.1 |
| T-27 | 90 | 89 | 90 | 55 | 34.1 |
| T-26 | 90 | 89 | 90 | 55 | 34.1 |
| T-25 | 90 | 89 | 90 | 55 | 34.1 |
| T-24 | 90 | 89 | 90 | 55 | 34.1 |
| T-23 | 95 | 94 | 95 | 55 | 39.1 |
| T-22 | 95 | 94 | 95 | 55 | 39.1 |
| T-21 | 95 | 94 | 95 | 55 | 39.1 |
| T-20 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 55 | 40.1 |
| T-19 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 55 | 40.1 |
| T-18 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 55 | 40.1 |
| T-17 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 55 | 40.1 |
| T-16 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 55 | 40.1 |
| T-15 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 55 | 40.1 |
| T-14 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 55 | 40.1 |
| T-13 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 55 | 40.1 |
| T-12 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 55 | 40.1 |
| T-11 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 55 | 40.1 |
| T-10 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 55 | 40.1 |
| T-9 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 55 | 40.1 |
| T-8 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 55 | 40.1 |
| T-7 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 55 | 40.1 |
| T-6 | 98 | 97 | 98 | 55 | 42.1 |
T-5 to T0 hidden. The last five minutes are for subscribers.
A record of published prices in the hour before settlement, with an independent estimate for context. Not a forecast and not advice. Values are as recorded and are never revised; corrections are appended. Methodology: sports-pregame-v1.