The Scope · sports

Rays at Guardians

The last hour before settlement, by the minute. Settlement (T0): Oct 12, 11:10 PM EDT. Outcome: Guardians won. Market lane: Kalshi (LIVE). Fair value: de-vigged pre-game line, held flat (in-play not modeled).

Late volume share

14%

last 10 min · this contract

Avg bid-ask width

1.1 pt

Minutes captured

of 61

Fair value is a pre-game reference. For sports, in-play is not modeled, so the distance between the live market and the flat pre-game line is not scored as a divergence (it mostly reflects the game being decided). A live sports gap is measured venue against venue, which needs a second venue lane.

Kalshipre-game fair (reference)Hover to read values · drag to zoom

The last five minutes are for subscribers. You are reading T-60 to T-6. The five metrics and the settlement are shown above; the final five minutes (T-5 to T0) open with a subscription.

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Minute table

Minute	Mid	Bid	Ask	Fair	Gap
T-60	40	39	40	39	0.3
T-59	44	43	44	39	4.3
T-58	46	45	46	39	6.3
T-57	46	45	46	39	6.3
T-56	47	46	47	39	7.3
T-55	47	46	47	39	7.3
T-54	48	47	48	39	8.3
T-53	47	46	47	39	7.3
T-52	54	53	54	39	14.3
T-51	55	54	55	39	15.3
T-50	67	66	67	39	27.3
T-49	67	66	67	39	27.3
T-48	67	66	67	39	27.3
T-47	65	63	67	39	25.8
T-46	63	62	63	39	23.3
T-45	89	88	90	39	49.8
T-44	89	88	89	39	49.3
T-43	89	88	89	39	49.3
T-42	88	87	88	39	48.3
T-41	88	87	88	39	48.3
T-40	88	87	88	39	48.3
T-39	88	87	88	39	48.3
T-38	74	73	74	39	34.3
T-37	74	73	74	39	34.3
T-36	78	77	78	39	38.3
T-35	84	83	84	39	44.3
T-34	88	87	88	39	48.3
T-33	88	87	88	39	48.3
T-32	88	87	88	39	48.3
T-31	88	87	88	39	48.3
T-30	90	89	90	39	50.3
T-29	88	87	89	39	48.8
T-28	88	87	88	39	48.3
T-27	89	88	89	39	49.3
T-26	89	88	89	39	49.3
T-25	89	88	89	39	49.3
T-24	86	85	86	39	46.3
T-23	86	85	86	39	46.3
T-22	84	83	84	39	44.3
T-21	83	82	83	39	43.3
T-20	93	92	93	39	53.3
T-19	93	92	93	39	53.3
T-18	92	91	93	39	52.8
T-17	94	93	94	39	54.3
T-16	94	93	94	39	54.3
T-15	94	93	94	39	54.3
T-14	95	94	95	39	55.3
T-13	95	94	95	39	55.3
T-12	95	94	95	39	55.3
T-11	94	93	94	39	54.3
T-10	99	98	99	39	59.3
T-9	99	98	99	39	59.3
T-8	99	98	99	39	59.3
T-7	99	98	99	39	59.3
T-6	99	98	99	39	59.3

T-5 to T0 hidden. The last five minutes are for subscribers.

A record of published prices in the hour before settlement, with an independent estimate for context. Not a forecast and not advice. Values are as recorded and are never revised; corrections are appended. Methodology: sports-pregame-v1.