The Scope · sports
Dodgers at Brewers
The last hour before settlement, by the minute. Settlement (T0): Oct 11, 11:14 PM EDT. Outcome: Brewers won. Market lane: Kalshi (LIVE). Fair value: de-vigged pre-game line, held flat (in-play not modeled).
Fair value is a pre-game reference. For sports, in-play is not modeled, so the distance between the live market and the flat pre-game line is not scored as a divergence (it mostly reflects the game being decided). A live sports gap is measured venue against venue, which needs a second venue lane.
Minute table
| Minute | Mid | Bid | Ask | Fair | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T-60 | 75 | 74 | 75 | 50 | 24.2 |
| T-59 | 75 | 74 | 75 | 50 | 24.2 |
| T-58 | 74 | 73 | 75 | 50 | 23.7 |
| T-57 | 75 | 74 | 75 | 50 | 24.2 |
| T-56 | 75 | 74 | 75 | 50 | 24.2 |
| T-55 | 77 | 76 | 77 | 50 | 26.2 |
| T-54 | 76 | 75 | 76 | 50 | 25.2 |
| T-53 | 72 | 71 | 72 | 50 | 21.2 |
| T-52 | 71 | 70 | 71 | 50 | 20.2 |
| T-51 | 70 | 69 | 70 | 50 | 19.2 |
| T-50 | 70 | 69 | 70 | 50 | 19.2 |
| T-49 | 70 | 69 | 70 | 50 | 19.2 |
| T-48 | 68 | 67 | 68 | 50 | 17.2 |
| T-47 | 66 | 65 | 66 | 50 | 15.2 |
| T-46 | 72 | 71 | 72 | 50 | 21.2 |
| T-45 | 73 | 72 | 73 | 50 | 22.2 |
| T-44 | 75 | 74 | 75 | 50 | 24.2 |
| T-43 | 77 | 76 | 77 | 50 | 26.2 |
| T-42 | 77 | 76 | 77 | 50 | 26.2 |
| T-41 | 77 | 76 | 77 | 50 | 26.2 |
| T-40 | 78 | 77 | 78 | 50 | 27.2 |
| T-39 | 78 | 77 | 78 | 50 | 27.2 |
| T-38 | 78 | 77 | 78 | 50 | 27.2 |
| T-37 | 79 | 78 | 79 | 50 | 28.2 |
| T-36 | 78 | 77 | 78 | 50 | 27.2 |
| T-35 | 79 | 78 | 79 | 50 | 28.2 |
| T-34 | 78 | 77 | 78 | 50 | 27.2 |
| T-33 | 78 | 77 | 78 | 50 | 27.2 |
| T-32 | 78 | 77 | 78 | 50 | 27.2 |
| T-31 | 78 | 77 | 78 | 50 | 27.2 |
| T-30 | 83 | 82 | 83 | 50 | 32.2 |
| T-29 | 84 | 83 | 84 | 50 | 33.2 |
| T-28 | 78 | 77 | 78 | 50 | 27.2 |
| T-27 | 78 | 77 | 79 | 50 | 27.7 |
| T-26 | 81 | 80 | 81 | 50 | 30.2 |
| T-25 | 89 | 88 | 89 | 50 | 38.2 |
| T-24 | 90 | 89 | 90 | 50 | 39.2 |
| T-23 | 90 | 89 | 90 | 50 | 39.2 |
| T-22 | 90 | 89 | 90 | 50 | 39.2 |
| T-21 | 91 | 90 | 91 | 50 | 40.2 |
| T-20 | 91 | 90 | 91 | 50 | 40.2 |
| T-19 | 91 | 90 | 91 | 50 | 40.2 |
| T-18 | 90 | 89 | 90 | 50 | 39.2 |
| T-17 | 89 | 88 | 89 | 50 | 38.2 |
| T-16 | 89 | 88 | 89 | 50 | 38.2 |
| T-15 | 88 | 87 | 88 | 50 | 37.2 |
| T-14 | 86 | 85 | 86 | 50 | 35.2 |
| T-13 | 86 | 85 | 86 | 50 | 35.2 |
| T-12 | 86 | 85 | 86 | 50 | 35.2 |
| T-11 | 86 | 85 | 86 | 50 | 35.2 |
| T-10 | 81 | 80 | 82 | 50 | 30.7 |
| T-9 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 50 | 45.2 |
| T-8 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 50 | 45.2 |
| T-7 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 50 | 45.2 |
| T-6 | 96 | 95 | 96 | 50 | 45.2 |
T-5 to T0 hidden. The last five minutes are for subscribers.
A record of published prices in the hour before settlement, with an independent estimate for context. Not a forecast and not advice. Values are as recorded and are never revised; corrections are appended. Methodology: sports-pregame-v1.