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The Scope · sports

Raptors at Lakers

The last hour before settlement, by the minute. Settlement (T0): Nov 1, 11:32 PM EST. Outcome: Lakers won. Market lanes: Kalshi, Polymarket (LIVE). Fair value: de-vigged pre-game line, held flat (in-play not modeled).

KalshiPolymarketpre-game fair (reference)Hover to read values · drag to zoom
0255075100toss-upT-60T-30T058%
The last five minutes are for subscribers. You are reading T-60 to T-6. The metrics and the settlement stay public; only the final five minutes (T-5 to T0) open with a subscription.
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Late volume
24%last 10 min
Avg width
1 pt
Captured
55/61minutes

The fair line is a pre-game reference, held flat. In-play is not modeled for sports, so the distance between the live market and that line is not scored as a divergence; it mostly reflects the game being decided. A live sports gap is measured venue against venue, which needs a second venue lane.

Minute table (Kalshi lane)
MinuteMidBidAskFairGap
T-609695965837.5
T-599695965837.5
T-589695965837.5
T-579695965837.5
T-569594955836.5
T-559695965837.5
T-549796975838.5
T-539897985839.5
T-529897985839.5
T-519796975838.5
T-509796975838.5
T-499796975838.5
T-489796975838.5
T-479796975838.5
T-469897985839.5
T-459897985839.5
T-449998995840.5
T-439998995840.5
T-429998995840.5
T-419998995840.5
T-409998995840.5
T-399998995840.5
T-389998995840.5
T-379998995840.5
T-369897985839.5
T-359998995840.5
T-349796975838.5
T-339796975838.5
T-329796975838.5
T-319796975838.5
T-309796975838.5
T-299796975838.5
T-289594955836.5
T-279392935834.5
T-269190915832.5
T-259190915832.5
T-249190915832.5
T-239392935834.5
T-229695965837.5
T-219897985839.5
T-209897985839.5
T-199998995840.5
T-189998995840.5
T-17100991005841.5
T-16100991005841.5
T-15100991005841.5
T-14100991005841.5
T-13100991005841.5
T-12100991005841.5
T-11100991005841.5
T-10100991005841.5
T-9100991005841.5
T-8100991005841.5
T-7100991005841.5
T-6100991005841.5

T-5 to T0 hidden. The last five minutes are for subscribers.

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A record of published prices in the hour before settlement, with an independent estimate for context. Not a forecast and not advice. Values are as recorded and are never revised; corrections are appended. Methodology: sports-pregame-v1.