Scopes Reference Data, LLC · Products
One record of every venue price. Four things we do with it.
Scopes keeps a timestamped, append-only record of prediction market prices across venues, digested daily and anchored to Bitcoin, with an independent fair value beside each price. Every product below is that record applied to a different object.
scopes.com/productsMeasurement, not advice
As of October 2026
How well a venue's prices were calibrated against outcomes, by desk and by horizon, under rules published in advance. Monthly, with intervals.
Venues and product issuers, funds and allocators, regulators, the press.
Published values and the family table; licensed series and history; a custom benchmark built to a mandate.
How one series behaves: volume, spread, the adverse move into resolution, stale quotes, cross-venue dispersion, and the series' economics at a share you state. New-listing reviews at 30, 60 and 90 days.
Market makers, trading firms, venues listing new series.
A series profile as a page and PDF, with the observation count behind every figure; a monthly monitor on the same method; scoped questions answered in writing.
The market price, the Scopes Fair Value and the divergence for any contract at any moment in the record, with its Merkle inclusion proof and timestamp. A reference mark anyone can verify, never an appraisal.
Fund administrators and valuers, compliance and best-execution teams, auditors and counsel.
One page, PDF, JSON and permalink with a QR to the verify tool. Batches and monthly fund and compliance packs are planned.
Independent verification of a named estimator against the markets under pre-registered rules: a forecasting firm, a model, an AI lab, or a venue's own scores. Results publish either way.
Forecasters and AI labs, venues, allocators choosing between estimators, researchers.
A registered study, tests fixed before outcomes are known, scored with intervals, with a page you can cite.
How they relate, and how they differ
Same record, same methodology, same proof chain. What changes is the object measured, the cadence, and the form of the answer. The Calibration Index grades the venues; a Market Quality report measures how one series trades; a Reference Report shows the fair value the index never scores; and Verification scores named estimators against the same outcomes.
| Product | Object | Cadence | Form of the answer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Publish | A venue, by desk and horizon | Monthly, fourth business day | An index value with an interval |
| Measure | A series of contracts | Per pilot; monthly on the monitor | A profile and the data behind it |
| Prove | One contract at one moment | On demand; monthly in packs | A reference mark with its proof |
| Score | A named estimator | Per study, registered first | A scored result, published either way |
What every product shares
Published rules. Methodology, versioning, an oversight log and a corrections policy, on the IOSCO benchmark principles. No venue has pre-publication review.
Point in time. Every figure is as published at the time shown; nothing is recomputed with later methodology; corrections are appended, never overwritten.
Rights by venue. Venue prices pass an entitlement gate; Scopes' own fields (fair value, metrics, proofs) are always present. Identical terms for every venue and every client.
Independence. Scopes does not forecast, advise, trade, or serve as a venue's expert. The Scopes Fair Value is a published estimate for context and is never scored by the index.
How it is priced: four rungs, each product on the rungs where it belongs
Index values, the scorecard, the first fifty-five minutes of every Scope, the Scope of the week, every study. Permalinks and citations.
Read and query the record, one desk or all desks. The last five minutes of every Scope.
Scopes Reference: the data, the API, index series and history, fund packs and compliance packs. Identical terms for every venue.
Custom benchmarks, Series Market Quality and new-listing reviews, verification of named estimators, Reference Reports at $75 each.